Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 290.352712 329.371597 373.129894 426.114653 488.900619 561.379775 652.035654
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 226.514754 275.272814 334.997762 414.570679 519.389717 655.033903 847.700953
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 200.166944 254.868182 326.070037 427.612897 572.226658 776.493857 1097.804957
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 178.563883 235.565444 313.311358 430.295688 607.765641 877.455578 1340.923138
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 159.152679 215.903660 296.239477 422.494612 624.325881 950.710939 1556.956591
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 146.148552 203.312430 287.011362 423.942296 653.898647 1048.712467 1840.894748
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 132.809557 188.560246 272.470742 414.390305 662.827414 1111.916270 2076.674176
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 123.062350 178.100413 263.125987 411.587749 682.189323 1196.979579 2382.524949
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 111.239865 163.284677 245.257975 391.856632 667.403015 1212.739881 2539.817807
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 107.742110 161.235446 247.759988 407.725353 721.690737 1379.285780 3114.735822
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 105.644208 161.180774 253.447003 429.908294 792.144700 1597.793821 3921.382761
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 100.060795 154.831756 247.632535 429.642352 816.123939 1716.313051 4501.863794
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 92.798481 145.228960 235.482517 416.157636 810.626808 1765.546693 4904.014534
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 86.542071 136.924836 224.994190 404.855272 808.468436 1823.953524 5373.884586
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 84.156094 135.166802 226.246024 417.516228 863.698673 2050.326123 6595.260938
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 80.669718 131.169616 222.922465 420.119564 895.369411 2220.841542 7725.137804
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 76.264524 125.195278 215.312926 412.548937 900.354410 2314.027592 8591.851309
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 73.266834 121.585494 211.965674 413.953936 928.757087 2489.703339 10009.079906
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 69.342657 115.999565 204.280677 404.682904 927.160002 2567.203806 10989.957000
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 66.409082 112.092851 199.655198 401.962475 943.215670 2711.558657 12509.689699
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 62.035402 105.205639 188.515353 382.805549 909.834998 2669.332427 12836.000581
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 61.327060 105.298999 191.688756 398.213033 979.484022 3037.253909 16405.608036
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 61.156973 106.415357 197.072240 419.743641 1072.634363 3542.956657 21993.398239